IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.8	#280
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.4	#185
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.5	#303

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.3	#239

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.4%	6.6%	3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.3	15.6

.500 or above	35.7%	45.2%	19.3%
.500 or above in Conference	47.6%	54.2%	35.9%
Conference Champion	5.6%	7.1%	2.9%
Last Place in Conference	9.6%	7.1%	14.0%

First Four	2.0%	2.1%	1.8%
First Round	4.4%	5.6%	2.5%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UC Riverside (Home) - 63.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 8	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 15, 2019	296	UC Riverside	W	67-63	63%
Nov 20, 2019	266	UC Davis	L	66-67	46%
Nov 23, 2019	117	@ Pepperdine	L	69-82	12%
Nov 30, 2019	40	@ Colorado	L	59-80	3%
Dec 07, 2019	213	@ Cal St. Fullerton	L	68-75	28%
Dec 14, 2019	128	@ Santa Clara	L	63-75	16%
Dec 18, 2019	327	Cal Poly	W	73-66	72%
Dec 28, 2019	279	@ Montana St.	L	74-77	39%
Dec 30, 2019	198	@ Montana	L	66-73	26%
Jan 04, 2020	335	Idaho St.	W	75-67	75%
Jan 09, 2020	278	Northern Arizona	W	74-71	60%
Jan 11, 2020	191	Weber St.	L	74-76	44%
Jan 16, 2020	214	@ Northern Colorado	L	65-72	28%
Jan 18, 2020	226	@ Southern Utah	L	70-76	30%
Jan 23, 2020	270	Portland St.	W	75-73	59%
Jan 27, 2020	278	@ Northern Arizona	L	71-74	40%
Feb 01, 2020	192	Eastern Washington	L	70-72	45%
Feb 03, 2020	338	Idaho	W	72-63	76%
Feb 06, 2020	191	@ Weber St.	L	71-79	26%
Feb 08, 2020	335	@ Idaho St.	W	72-70	57%
Feb 13, 2020	226	Southern Utah	L	73-74	49%
Feb 15, 2020	214	Northern Colorado	L	68-69	48%
Feb 20, 2020	192	@ Eastern Washington	L	67-75	26%
Feb 22, 2020	338	@ Idaho	W	69-66	59%
Feb 27, 2020	279	Montana St.	W	77-74	60%
Feb 29, 2020	198	Montana	L	69-70	45%
Mar 07, 2020	270	@ Portland St.	L	72-76	38%
Projected Record						12 - 15	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.4	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0		5.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	1.3	2.3	1.9	0.7	0.2	0.0				6.8	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	2.3	3.2	1.8	0.3	0.1						8.3	3rd
4th										0.1	0.7	3.2	3.7	1.7	0.3	0.0							9.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.9	3.4	4.0	1.6	0.2	0.0								10.0	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.9	3.6	4.5	1.7	0.1	0.0									11.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.4	4.2	4.2	1.5	0.1	0.0										11.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.6	4.0	3.9	1.4	0.1												11.2	8th
9th			0.0	0.1	0.5	2.2	3.7	3.2	1.0	0.1	0.0												10.8	9th
10th		0.0	0.3	1.1	2.4	2.9	1.9	0.5	0.0														9.0	10th
11th	0.2	0.6	1.1	1.8	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.0															6.0	11th

Total	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.9	4.3	6.1	7.5	9.2	10.0	10.3	10.2	9.6	8.2	6.6	5.2	3.5	2.1	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	97.2%	0.6		0.6	0.0
17-3	87.9%	1.1		0.9	0.3	0.0
16-4	65.6%	1.4		0.9	0.4	0.1
15-5	36.7%	1.3		0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-6	14.1%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-7	2.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	5.6%	5.6		3.4	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		66.7%	66.7%		13.8												0.0	0.0		0.0			0.0
19-1	0.2%		44.9%	44.9%		13.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
18-2	0.6%		31.2%	31.2%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.4
17-3	1.3%		35.0%	35.0%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.8
16-4	2.1%		26.3%	26.3%		14.7														0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1	1.6
15-5	3.5%		23.8%	23.8%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	2.7
14-6	5.2%		15.9%	15.9%		15.6															0.0	0.3	0.5	4.4
13-7	6.6%		9.8%	9.8%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.5	6.0
12-8	8.2%		8.1%	8.1%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.6	7.5
11-9	9.6%		4.4%	4.4%		15.9																0.0	0.4	9.1
10-10	10.2%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																0.0	0.4	9.8
9-11	10.3%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	10.1
8-12	10.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.0
7-13	9.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.2
6-14	7.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
5-15	6.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.1
4-16	4.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
3-17	2.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
2-18	1.4%																							1.4
1-19	0.6%																							0.6
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		5.4%	5.4%	0.0%	15.4												0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	1.4	3.1	94.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%